Psychology, made clear.
How minds work: the ideas, patterns and research behind everyday thinking, feeling and behaving.
We underestimate how long tasks will take even when we know similar tasks ran late before. The planning fallacy is a prediction habit, and an 'outside view' of how things usually go corrects most of it.
When many people do something, we tend to treat that as evidence it is good. The bandwagon effect is often a sensible shortcut and sometimes a trap, especially when popularity itself drives the popularity.
Once we know how something turned out, our minds quietly rewrite what we thought before. Hindsight bias makes the past look more predictable than it was, and makes us harder on ourselves and others.
The Clear Mind letter
No streaks, no urgency. A short note when we publish something worth your attention.
